Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 44.705176 51.397549 58.365206 66.129356 74.508411 83.249431 93.028140
2024-10-20 33.950194 43.213574 53.434216 65.414887 78.946110 93.637424 110.677744
2024-10-27 26.832368 37.145487 49.063449 63.576808 80.511283 99.408347 121.856013
2024-11-03 23.867853 35.331092 49.062772 66.265153 86.810769 110.177684 138.386584
2024-11-10 21.103329 33.324013 48.466811 67.930895 91.660477 119.093974 152.666298
2024-11-17 17.713874 30.079272 45.980543 66.982450 93.133284 123.867324 161.987820
2024-11-24 14.880996 27.219155 43.683065 66.002530 94.346965 128.163141 170.615819
2024-12-01 12.898386 25.297207 42.410847 66.151037 96.814927 133.864764 180.845917
2024-12-08 11.217900 23.606356 41.284095 66.349937 99.240586 139.444171 190.888362
2024-12-15 9.903280 22.308986 40.575784 67.000933 102.167992 145.595452 201.605202
2024-12-22 8.341704 20.411386 38.854854 66.153807 103.061988 149.155489 209.117182
2024-12-29 7.493955 19.596182 38.633349 67.304466 106.525103 155.912026 220.559821
2025-01-05 6.747013 18.882865 38.533406 68.631755 110.268702 163.108039 232.680093
2025-01-12 5.633804 17.335094 37.039861 67.897649 111.206161 166.713963 240.339517
2025-01-19 4.457810 15.445990 34.845654 66.016455 110.485892 168.114970 245.177674
2025-01-26 4.247437 15.511898 35.807201 68.768227 116.107783 177.731413 260.405014
2025-02-02 3.880758 15.181455 36.077523 70.472823 120.284065 185.482903 273.302831
2025-02-09 3.151340 13.887335 34.621219 69.502303 120.691719 188.280030 279.890865
2025-02-16 2.522552 12.674695 33.198955 68.499452 120.991306 190.892915 286.217971
2025-02-23 2.117939 11.933888 32.551694 68.651442 122.894682 195.612434 295.248094
2025-03-02 1.770887 11.256539 31.962914 68.855003 124.847217 200.387923 304.355321
2025-03-09 1.511310 10.764800 31.680757 69.521217 127.453233 206.038010 314.608147
2025-03-16 1.160181 9.842148 30.488087 68.654277 127.791313 208.612358 320.853597